1. “Social elites as sentinels: Estimating national excess mortality of China's sudden COVID-19 reopening,” Journal of Population Economics, 2025, 38 (4), 72 (with Guojun He and Shuo Li). Published Version, Appendix
1. “Improving Quality through Regulation or Reputation? Theory and Evidence from Environmental Impact Assessment Industry” [Job market paper]
Presented at AEA 2026 (invited for a podcast interview), Econometric Society DSE 2025, HKU Applied Group, 4th CAERE, Duke IO Lunch
Old name: “Entry Regulation in the Presence of Reputation: Theory and Evidence”
Abstract: Ensuring reliable provision of high-quality goods and services remains a central challenge in many markets. This paper studies how reputation interacts with entry regulation and shapes optimal regulatory policies using empirical, theoretical, and quantitative approaches. Empirically, I show that an entry deregulation reform in the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) industry leads to a persistent decline in service quality. I also document that negative reputation shocks sharply reduce firms' market share by half, indicating that both regulation and reputation are powerful devices. Theoretically, I develop a firm entry game in which reputation partially substitutes for regulatory screening, weakening the quality-improving effect of entry barriers. Structurally, I estimate a dynamic oligopoly model within a Moment-based Markov Equilibrium framework that incorporates endogenous reputation formation. Counterfactual simulations reveal that accounting for reputation substantially alters the optimal stringency and timing of entry regulations. These results underscore that effective regulation in emerging markets must be designed jointly with the market’s reputation forces.
2. “The Chinese Art of Elegant Corruption,” submitted (with Guojun He). Latest Version, SSRN
Presented at RES 2025, CES NA 2025, Duke Labor Lunch, HKU Applied Group
3. “(De)regulating Information Intermediaries: Theory and Evidence from China's Environmental Impact Assessment Industry,” (with Guojun He, Daniel Xu, Bing Zhang).
Presented at Tsinghua-CIDEG, Xiamen U
4. “Mobilizing Citizens, Improving Governance: Campaign-Style Enforcement and Durable Environmental Improvement,” submitted.
5. “Nudging Pro-environmental Behaviors: A Review”
1. “Designing Green Certification: Theory and Evidence from Green Building Certification”
2. “Premium of Green Certification: Evidence from Green Building Material Certification”
3. “Cooperation Failure along Rivers”
4. “The Long-Run Knowledge Network: Evidence from Two Millennia of Chinese Medicine”
5. “Superstition”
1. “Measuring Environmental Regulation Stringency in China: The Perspective of China’s Pollution Levy system,” Journal of Environmental Economics, 2020, 5(01), 56-77 (with Zhiqing Li). Published Version, Media