1. “Social elites as sentinels: Estimating national excess mortality of China's sudden COVID-19 reopening,” Journal of Population Economics, 2025, 38 (4), 72 (with Guojun He and Shuo Li). Published Version, Appendix
1. “Entry Regulation in the Presence of Reputation: Theory and Evidence” [Job market paper]
Presented at AEA 2026, Econometric Society DSE 2025, HKU Applied Group, 4th CAERE, Duke IO Lunch
Abstract: Reliable provision of high-quality goods and services is a central challenge in emerging markets. Governments often rely on entry regulation to screen providers, while market-based reputation mechanisms can discipline quality through demand. This paper studies how reputation interacts with entry regulation and shape optimal regulatory policies using empirical, theoretical, and quantitative approaches. Empirically, I exploit a nationwide entry deregulation in the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) industry as an exogenous shock and use an instrumental variables strategy to show that deregulation leads to a persistent decline in service quality. I also document that negative reputation shocks sharply reduce firms' market share, indicating that reputation is a powerful demand-side disciplining device. Theoretically, I develop a model of information asymmetry in which reputation partially substitutes for regulatory screening, weakening the quality-improving effect of entry barriers. Structurally, I estimate a dynamic oligopoly model within a Moment-based Markov Equilibrium framework that incorporates endogenous reputation formation. To measure service quality continuously, I build a plagiarism detection system to analyze a corpus of over forty thousand documents. Counterfactual simulations reveal that accounting for reputation substantially alters the optimal stringency and timing of entry regulations. These results underscore that effective regulation in emerging markets must be designed jointly with the market’s reputation forces.
2. “The Chinese Art of Elegant Corruption,” submitted (with Guojun He). Latest Version, SSRN
Presented at RES 2025, CES NA 2025, Duke Labor Lunch, HKU Applied Group
3. “(De)regulating Information Intermediaries: Theory and Evidence from China's Environmental Impact Assessment Industry”
Presented at Tsinghua-CIDEG, Xiamen U
1. “Designing Green Certification: Theory and Evidence from Green Building Certification”
2. “Premium of Green Certification: Evidence from Green Building Material Certification”
3. “Cooperation Failure along Rivers”
4. “The Long-Run Knowledge Network: Evidence from Two Millennia of Chinese Medicine”
1. Quan, Yucheng, Zhiqing Li. 2020. "Measuring Environmental Regulation Stringency in China: The Perspective of China’s Pollution Levy system". Journal of Environmental Economics 5(01), 56-77. Published Version, Media